Modern communications technology has reached China, a centralized bureaucracy, a smaller chance is too overwhelmed and too top-heavy. The danger of melting in the central parts of the regional structures with rebellious episodes, has been declining every year. The risk is not completely gone, if rapid economic growth bumps into serious stagnation and even reversal of GDP. To date, China has the creaky uneven centralization of the 18th Century in France andis happy to apply large-scale mercantile practices.
Chinese society is not yet fully urbanized and are consolidated. Beijing can not exercise Cutting mercantilist practices of Japan and Singapore. Chinese political center recently overcame last remnants of feudalism, warlords and peripheral regional integration. After having worked with, China is pursuing the same economic path that allows Kaiser's Germany to grow rapidly by taking advantage of the BritishPost-mercantilism, free trade period. It is very historically appropriate. There is no need for Beijing to Spanish, British or French to emulate mercantilist experience.
For a nation of 5-year plans, it is worth trying to develop steps and jump from the macro-economy to those in Germany Imperial Japan to skip. To date, China has neomercantilist rapid development made by the book:
1) Government imposed a positive balance of trade, protectionism and currency control (Yuanpegged to the dollar)
2) self-sufficiency in agriculture and the manufacture of simple to more sophisticated goods
3) the purchase of large amounts of money and gold (about one trillion U.S. dollars worth more than 2009). Controls to prevent wealth from flowing out of the country by protectionist restrictions on imports
4) large scale mining and infrastructure projects to increase the use of indigenous resources and the terrain. Hamilton and angina Adams would be proud of what coastal elite in Beijinghave achieved over the past 20 years. China has also secured exports 60% of resources in Africa and structural integration, Central Asia and Siberia, Russia in their resources feeding network.
5) that the entire population, wages are low increase in total manufacturing exports to the country. This is easily achieved by underdevelopment of the western provinces like Tibet. A child is more on the wealthier Mandarin coalition government imposed than the periphery of ethnic groups. UnequalImplementation of child policy holds periphery ethnic groups are more fertile and poorer. Coastal urban people spend more dominant forces on the creation of jobs advanced wealth rather than saving to expand several children.
6) Run by imports of natural resources and limited large-scale buyouts by foreign experts talent in anything from engineering, electronics, industry, science and hard
Current opinion and international action so far has just reactive. Westernersare mainly to prevent attempts in China, focusing rapid depreciation of the dollar bought (before eventually all of them are on the natural resources used anyway) through the creation of an international reserve currency. Some look like the global recession can be used by China to manufacture from the less developed to move the prices to compete with Germans and Japanese when it comes to sophisticated electronics and electro-coming cars. Chinese confidence in constructive criticism of the existing internationalEconomy has often been noted.
Very little attention was paid to the impact of the world is grown in a mercantilist arrangement. China is always predictable and, thus, necessary. Originally, Britain was economically successful because it has free trade theory mercantilist practice earlier than in Spain or France. She stayed one step ahead of the competition. However, the new economic hybrid has created oligarchal capitalist interests,then used to reduce the liberal theory of government involvement in the economy. Wealthy exporting interests (who controls the House of Commons and opinions of the people through print media) are used appeals to individual freedom for the dismantling of mercantilism / free trade made hybrid that Britain rich and powerful from the beginning. England went along, but economically as hybrid companies have declined to build new waves of industrial plants by neomercantilist practices (Germany / USA).As Britain declined in the industrial power, they lead focused on its core competencies and strength of handling money and to ensure that the torch has been handed down Wall Street in the 20th Century. The big banks competing hubs in Europe (Paris, Berlin, Moscow) were looted during the wars / revolutions. We now see what happens when banks and finance is the core strength and focus of the economy.
China is now in the process of transition to the final stage of production asset concentration by focusing onDevelopment of advanced products such as cars and computers. Rapid economic integration of Taiwan and Hong Kong will soon help in this process. Created Western investment in Taiwan know a base for high technology and competitiveness. Many Taiwanese oligarchs have basically already integrated their mainland businesses. Ideologically, Taiwan Kuomintang political center, can now seamlessly work with the Chinese authorities. People forget the importance of socialism in Chiang KaiChek original nationalist ideology.
Very soon, China manufacture of high-tech products will begin to look (with Germany and Japan for markets in Russia, Europe and North America to compete as well at the lower end of cheap electric cars sold in developing countries). They will be forced to use existing international free trade system (perhaps by the IMF's special drawing rights for the rights of the basket of currencies stabilized), to promote these products abroad.
As the Chinese like the world would see her soonProducts flow on mid-western markets? You want to see not protectionism from Europe, Russia, Japan and North America. To see the rule of law and respect of everyone in the capitalist world. They would get on well with North America and Europe reduced to the South American-style resource providers and destinations. We see that, when China will take Japanese level significance for the high-tech exports, they be in a position to consolidate and then finally at the national level and to relaxthe amount of force needed to maintain social stability.
In a few decades, the communist leadership in Beijing will be able to say that not only do they bring the people out of poverty, but they:
1) beat the West with their own weapons, such as Japan have (but) without a period of war for resources
2) creates a real sense of nationalism, inter-ethnic peace and modern nation, such as Chiang Kai Chek was
3) to avoid errors in the Soviet Union through perestroikaand simultaneously, a reasonable use of the fruits of communist mass literacy and the importance of science / technology
4) took the torch from the United States as a global role model when it comes to free trade, peaceful coexistence, the lack of interference in the affairs of other societies, isolationism, respect the limits of the small states, and the cooperation of companies
5) more built for the Third World than the financially oriented English speakers through the exchange of resources for real engineeringProjects
6) contributed to a stabilizing one world currency for international development also
Such claims it is the Communist Party of the election after the election win for a number of decades, even if they will allow political pluralism. Many Asian countries remain a party rule for decades, even after democratization. Cultural collectivism and the emphasis of the agreement allows elites to cooperate smoothly. Taking into account the experiences of Great Britain, China easilycontinue to develop pragmatic approach, building from a financial center of Hong Kong, bringing new resources (such as helium-3 from the exploration of outer space), and leaders of mankind, by their center of progress.
History has shown that the leading elites not allow unfettered ascent. Cutting means and a limit is too obvious hostility. Imperial Japan and Germany have shown, dass advanced hybrid of mercantilism and free trade (from a company strong enough economically andtechnology) is the only way to counterbalance China's dominance. Only the European Union to speak English and Russian allies have what it takes to compete effectively and to prevent the formation of a long-term hegemon, that culturally and psychologically uncomfortable for Westerners.
At the beginning of the article was to show how Chinese bureaucracy has mentioned, a small chance again destabilized. There is precedent for this happening on numerous occasions in the history of China withterrible civil wars and rebellions from poorer less developed periphery. China's Gini index, shows the country's income inequality between the rich and the poor, demonstrates that China is itself economically unequal as the United States. Today in Beijing authoritarian rule keeps the lid on problems of elites from either the oligarchs coastal groups, rural / urban and regional groups to emulate Western liberals.
European Union the task of dealing with the near future, include the following:
1) As a proactivereactive rather than moving on Chinese, American or Russian
Expand 2) The acquisition of valuable ally to influence. First Does that work with Russia to take American-British influence from Central Europe, and then press with England American influence from NATO. NATO can then be terminated and America so before working as an equal force.
3) As a pragmatic and not looking at human rights in the acquisition of resources from other nations. Europe still has time to lock in substantialVolumes of commodity exports from the developing world, especially in Africa. It may be in Russia in the development of Arctic energy reserves and helped Russia surpassed the Chinese extraction / exploration company in Central Asia.
4) consolidation of the EU structures, such as the European Parliament, so that further action consistent with become more popular European implemented legitimacy.
5) The extended collective protectionist ways to keep an edge in high-tech products in order to stay one step aheadChina. Contribute constructively to the global currency or education by the IMF, where the West still dominate.
To manage 6) Working with the USA and England to the geopolitical, social and economic decline of the United States peacefully and productively. Invite young American professionals in the European Union on social pressure to displace less assimilative Muslim immigrants. If the stable cooperation adults alike mediator between Russia and the United States, so the twoformer superpowers can contribute productively and nuclear safety. Open borders for young educated Westerners from all over the world to counterbalance the aging of Europe.
7) Development work closely with regional powers like Japan and India to counterbalance China's influence culture. To achieve this, the rapidly expanding economic cooperation with them in the field of climate change, building infrastructure, energy, military and aerospace
8) Comprehensive public awareness on climatechange and the loss of technological advantage, which in China is not confrontational conditions. The leadership in the knowledge of petty power struggles (such as Poland, the mistrust of the Russian co-operation in Europe) and offer tangible economic / incentives for the development of key players to overcome.
Brussels has enough time to work more effectively to consolidate China. It requires the same long-term vision, developmental biology and a good eye, historical sense, as obsessed with their Chinese politburoCounterparts. Europe is economically egalitarian than China. It has more cutting power elites and professionals. There must be a way of Russian-American nuclear umbrella (not to be protected will find that) are controlled by them, so that it is not spent too much money for an integrated European defense is. Together, the Western peoples of the world close to a billion people, and did so much of a shot like Chinese (talking less than half the sentence of the Chinese Mandarin dialect). Western civilization is thequalitative know-how to provide robust competition of all humanity will benefit.
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