Monday, March 1, 2010

If the economy's trend growth or a recession in 2010?

What is 2010? Here are some ideas and some ways, I think that the list took place in 2010. But rather than guess which end of the S & P 500 Index will be the number of analysts cut profit forecasts, which is a list of things in 2010 might be good or bad, than I imagined. But I think people want a way to one of the most important factor in the economy and markets so that they can plan and their own personal and business strategiesWe experienced a year.

1. Unemployment is not much better could be worse in 2010, because of the savings and debt reduction to consumers, rather than spending money, the key is the company is producing from the current level and the expansion of consumer demand.

2. To win the value of U.S. dollars, this year due to (risk) global uncertainty began what kind of improvement and disappearance of the U.S. economy later this year.

3. Is the "Tea Road" peopleWill continue to increase, while the Republican primaries in 2010 to make the appearance of a candidate.

4. More complex and competition rules, points out that the U.S. Congress will prove to be the restoration of roadblocks.

5. When the Federal Reserve and Ben Bernanke will raise interest rate concerns will be muted because the market will grow a few months before interest rate decision, the Fed and Bernanke, it is time to raise interest rates.

6. The central bank will continue to maintain a low interest rateContinue to print money, so that the next bubble, due to bad investments.

7. Housing may be more serious in 2010, and the sharing of foreclosures more and more millions of "toxic assets" of the bank's balance sheet. Commercial real estate will continue to decline, by 2011, due to the need to refinance "underwater" attribute. However, new investors will begin a fortune to buy these cheap properties.

8. These banks need to build the assets they currently owned assets to meet the toxicEncountered in books and new toxic assets to make up for 2010 and 2011. Hence, the banking credit crunch (and very little to keep credit-worthy borrowers.)

9. Corporate winners and losers (consumers and taxpayers have lost their health care ') legislation began in 2010, became apparent, and CEO and medical trade unions, was surprised to be involved with the executive departments, if they decide their "negotiated agreement" is not honored by the government.

10.The U.S. Congress passed another economic stimulus package, in order to restore and create employment opportunities. He will be great, but it will release a smaller package, so their spending bill passed by Congress can bring, there is no attention to a large number of concern and indignation.

11. Climate change hysteria, and the Congress in 2010 on a realistic energy plan, we have been waiting for in order to reduce the work since 1975 reward.

12. The company's sales will continue to be so serious, companies can increaseWill be conducive to (low-interest loans) to buy more mergers and acquisitions, sales and profitability.

13. Government debt is already high, will be greater and the Federal Reserve Board in order to finance these short-term bonds, long-term debt. Therefore, the Fed was not prepared to raise interest rates. Imagine the price (only 0.25% increase of 50% to 0.5%) because of your "cost", if you are interested in the hundreds of billions of U.S. dollar payment, based on the current debt.

14. ThisIs certainly a minority, but in 2010 the company's profits are too optimistic and will be lowered, with the second quarter, figures began.

15. Create a new investment areas and opportunities will you have a buyer, the seller and you, and vice versa.

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